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You are here: IndiaNotes >> Market Insights - 05 July 2016 >> What to Sell and When to Sell? - Market Insights Newsletter
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Welcome to Market Insights.

Given that the Indian markets bounced back quickly after the BREXIT, some investors might be willing to book profits. For such investors, Mr. Arun Jethmalani, the CEO of ValueNotes Strategic Intelligence Pvt Ltd, which owns the portal, has a fundamental and valuable advise on what kind of stocks should be sold and when should they be sold. In addition to this, we have Dynamic Levels analysing the impact of the GST on various sectors and stocks, Rudra Shares recommending Filatex India in a positional call, and HDFC Securities suggesting a switch trade between Bharat Forge and Ashok Leyland while recommending Sundaram Fastners as a stock for the week.


What to sell?

Essentially, the 'buy' decision is a positive, optimistic action; based on an expectation that the stock in question (or the market) has better days ahead. In contrast, the 'sell' decision implies that our thoughts are negative or pessimistic, typically associated with fear, anxiety or loss.

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When to Sell?

Knowing when to 'sell' is far more important than knowing when, or what to 'buy'. It could be the hardest skill to master. While it is easy to blame scams, external forces or sheer bad luck, the truth is that selling is the most crucial part of successful investing.

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Positional call: Buy Filatex India at CMP and hold for 3 months
According to Rudra Shares, while there is no immediate threat from Brexit over textiles industries, the decrease in annual turnover is mainly due to decline in finished goods prices consequent upon decrease in price of raw material and deep fall in crude prices. However, outlook for the coming year is favourable for polyester as the declining cotton prices globally has discouraged cotton farming in major cotton growing countries, leading to a lower cotton acreage for the next season. Filatex India is trading above its 50 and 200 day EMA & its below trend line shows a support of 64 and 62.

The GST Radar: Which stocks will benefit?
The most awaited GST bill is expected to be passed in the parliament in its July session starting from 18th July. At this juncture, Dynamic Levels are trying to analyse the impact of the GST on various sectors and the stocks that are likely to benefit from it. The sectors discussed include Automobiles, Auto Ancillaries, Building Materials, Cement, Consumer Durables, and Consumer and Retail.

Technical Switch Trades: Buy Bharat Forge; Sell Ashok Leyland
According to HDFC Securities, the overall chart pattern of Bharat Forge is indicating a positive bias for near term, and hence investors can buy the stock between CMP & 735 with stop-loss placed at 715 for a time horizon of 3-5 weeks. On the contrary, the overall negative chart pattern is now showing an opportunity to go for a sell in Ashok Leyland for near term, and hence investors can sell the stock between CMP & 104.50 with stop-loss placed at 106.50 for a time horizon of 3-5 weeks.

Pick of the Week: Buy Sundram Fasteners at CMP & add on dips
According to HDFC Securities, improving margins owing to new products, reducing debt, sale of loss-making German operations, an uptick in CV cycle aided by infra spend and scrappage policy, increased rural demand for cars, tractors and two-wheelers, and increasing exports are key triggers that can result in earning CAGR of 15% over the next few years. This, coupled with the management's excellent track record makes Sundram Fasteners a very attractive stock. Thus, investors can buy the stock at the CMP and add on declines to Rs. 160-168 band (~13x FY18E EPS) for sequential targets implying ~17x and 19x FY18E EPS over 2-3 quarters.

Featured Technical Call for today by Stock4Gains
BHARATFORG (777): If crosses 787 & closes above 775, then expect the stock to zoom
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One of our readers and an active investor was willing to know whether it is worth buying Globus Spirits, Radico, GM Breweries & Empee Distelleries at CMP and keeping in one's portfolio for the long term. Read the convincing solution given by Bonvista Financial Planners.
Please feel free to approach our experts and receive convincing replies.

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